Revisiting the association between vitamin D deficiency and active tuberculosis: A prospective case-control study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: To revisit the association between vitamin D deficiency (VDD, defined as serum 25(OH)D < 20 ng/ml) and incident active tuberculosis (TB), after two potentially underpowered randomized trials showed statistically non-significant 13%-22% decrease in TB incidence in vitamin D supplementation groups. METHODS: We prospectively conducted an age/sex-matched case-control study that accounting for body-mass index (BMI), smoking, and other confounding factors to examine the association between VDD and active TB among non-HIV people in Taiwan (latitude 24°N), a high-income society which continues to have moderate TB burden. RESULTS: We enrolled 62 people with incident active TB and 248 people in control group. The TB case patients had a significantly higher proportion of VDD compared to the control group (51.6% vs 29.8%, p = 0.001). The 25(OH)D level was also significantly lower in TB patients compared to control group (21.25 ± 8.93 ng/ml vs 24.45 ± 8.36 ng/ml, p = 0.008). In multivariable analysis, VDD (adjusted odds ratio [aOR]: 3.03, p = 0.002), lower BMI (aOR: 0.81, p < 0.001), liver cirrhosis (aOR: 8.99, p = 0.042), and smoking (aOR: 4.52, p = 0.001) were independent risk factors for incident active TB. CONCLUSIONS: VDD is an independent risk factor for incident active TB. Future randomized trials examining the effect of vitamin D supplementation on TB incidence should focus on people with a low BMI or other risk factors to maximize the statistical power.

Exercise capacity-hemodynamics mismatch in elderly patients with pulmonary hypertension: A nationwide multicenter study from Taiwan Society of Cardiology Pulmonary Hypertension Registry (TAIPANS).

Background: Demographics of pulmonary hypertension (PH) has changed a lot over the past forty years. Several recent registries noted an increase in mean age of PH but only a few of them investigated the characteristics of elderly patients. Thus, we aimed to analyze the characteristics of PH in such a population in this study. Methods: This multicenter study enrolled patients diagnosed with PH in group 1, 3, 4, and 5 consecutively from January 1, 2019 to December 31, 2020. A total of 490 patients was included, and patients were divided into three groups by age (≤45 years, 45-65 years, and >65 years). Results: The mean age of PH patients diagnosed with PH was 55.3 ± 16.3 years of age. There was higher proportion of elderly patients classified as group 3 PH (≤45: 1.3, 45-65: 4.5, >65: 8.1 %; p = 0.0206) and group 4 PH (≤45: 8.4, 45-65: 14.5, >65: 31.6 %; p < 0.0001) than young patients. Elderly patients had shorter 6-min walking distance (6 MWD) (≤45 vs. >65, mean difference, 77.8 m [95% confidence interval (CI), 2.1-153.6 m]), lower mean pulmonary arterial pressure (mPAP) (≤45 vs. >65, mean difference, 10.8 mmHg [95% CI, 6.37-15.2 mmHg]), and higher pulmonary arterial wedge pressure (PAWP) (≤45 vs. 45-65, mean difference, -2.1 mmHg [95% CI, -3.9 to -0.3 mmHg]) compared to young patients. Elderly patients had a poorer exercise capacity despite lower mPAP level compared to young population, but they received combination therapy less frequently compared to young patients (triple therapy in group 1 PH, ≤45: 16.7, 45-65: 11.3, >65: 3.8 %; p = 0.0005). Age older than 65 years was an independent predictor of high mortality for PH patients. Conclusions: Elderly PH patients possess unique hemodynamic profiles and epidemiologic patterns. They had higher PAWP, lower mPAP, and received combination therapy less frequently. Moreover, ageing is a predictor of high mortality for PH patients. Exercise capacity-hemodynamics mismatch and inadequate treatment are noteworthy in the approach of elderly population with PH.

Taiwan Society of Cardiology Heart Failure Registry 2020: Rationale and Design.

Background: Heart failure (HF) is a significant public health problem worldwide. Death and rehospitalization rates are similar across different HF phenotypes. However, the existing Taiwanese HF registries mainly enrolled inpatients with HF and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) before 2019, so their results may not apply to outpatients or patients with HF with mildly reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF) and HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) phenotypes. Methods: The Taiwan Society of Cardiology Heart Failure Registry 2020 is a prospective, multicenter, observational registry that will enroll patients with HF from 27 hospitals in Taiwan between 2020 and 2022 and will be followed for two years. Patients eligible for enrollment include those admitted due to acute decompensated heart failure or outpatients with a history of hospitalization for heart failure within the past six months. The registry will collect patient demographics, medical history, HF diagnosis, medication use, examination results, and comorbidities. The registry plans to enroll 3,370 patients, with the distribution of HFrEF/HFmrEF/HFpEF as 59%/13%/28%. Follow-up intervals will occur every six months for up to two years to monitor clinical outcomes and major cardiac interventions. The registry will conclude in December 2024. Conclusions: The Taiwan Society of Cardiology Heart Failure Registry 2020 is a comprehensive and meticulous effort to demonstrate the epidemiology, adherence to guidelines, clinical outcomes, and disease progression of Taiwanese patients with HF in contemporary clinical practice.

2024 Guidelines of the Taiwan Society of Cardiology for the Diagnosis and Treatment of Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction.

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is a multi-organ systemic syndrome that involves cardiac and extra-cardiac pathophysiological abnormalities. Its growing prevalence causes a major public concern worldwide. HFpEF is usually associated with multiple comorbidities, and non-cardiovascular death is common in patients with HFpEF. In Asia, patients with HFpEF has a younger age, higher prevalence of diabetes and chronic kidney disease than Western countries. A 2-step diagnostic algorithm is recommended in this guideline. In the first step, the diagnosis of HFpEF can be made if patients have symptoms and/or signs of heart failure, left ventricular ejection fraction ≥ 50%, increased natriuretic peptide, and objective evidence of left atrial or left ventricular abnormalities or raised left ventricular filling pressure. If diagnosis is still uncertain, invasive or noninvasive stress test can be performed in the second step. Comorbidities need to be controlled in HFpEF. Weight reduction for obesity and supervised exercise training are recommended for HFpEF. For pharmacological therapy, diuretic is used to relieve congestion and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor, empagliflozin or dapagliflozin, is recommended to improve prognosis of HFpEF. The research on HFpEF is advancing at a rapid pace. It is expected that newer modalities for diagnosis and management of HFpEF could appear in the near future.

Efficacy of Sacubitril-Valsartan on Survival and Cardiac Remodeling in Hypotensive Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction: A Multicenter Study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether hypotensive patients diagnosed with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) might benefit from angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitors (ARNis) in real-world practice because patients with baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) of less than 100 mm Hg have been excluded from landmark trials. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this multicenter study conducted between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2021, a total of 7562 symptomatic patients with HFrEF were enrolled and grouped by SBP (hypotension was defined as an SBP of less than 100 mm Hg) and ARNi use as follows: group 1, hypotensive/non-ARNi users (n=484); group 2, hypotensive/ARNi users (n=308); group 3, nonhypotensive/non-ARNi users (n=4560); and group 4, nonhypotensive/ARNi users (n=2210). Inverse probability of treatment weighting was used to balance baseline characteristics for survival analysis. RESULTS: Diverse baseline characteristics and lower rates of medication use were found among non-ARNi users compared with ARNi users. Hypotensive/ARNi users had lower ARNi initiation doses than nonhypotensive/ARNi users. We observed significantly lower mortality, composite heart failure hospitalization, and CV death for hypotensive/ARNi and the other 2 nonhypotensive groups (groups 3 and 4) during a median follow-up of 3.43 years (all P<.05), with a similar effect on reverse remodeling for the hypotensive/ARNi group compared with the hypotensive/non-ARNi group. The event-free survival benefits of ARNi vs renin-angiotensin system inhibitors were consistent with the lower boundary of SBP for clinical benefits found until 88 mm Hg (spline curves) after inverse probability of treatment weighting. CONCLUSION: Patients with HFrEF and hypotension may still benefit from ARNi treatment. Patients with hypotensive HFrEF should not be routinely excluded from ARNi use in a real-world setting.

Sex-based differences in obstructive sleep apnea and atrial fibrillation: Implication of atrial fibrillation burden.

Background: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF); however, it is unclear whether AF increases the risk of OSA. Furthermore, sex differences among patients with both AF and OSA remain unclear. We aimed to determine the association between an increased AF burden and OSA and investigate the differences in clinical characteristics between women and men with AF and OSA. Methods: This was a descriptive, cross-sectional analysis from a prospective cohort study. Patients with non-valvular AF were recruited from the cardiac electrophysiology clinic of a tertiary center; they underwent a home sleep apnea test and 14-day ambulatory electrocardiography. Moderate-to-severe OSA was defined as an apnea-hypopnea index of ≥15. Results: Of 320 patients with AF, 53.4% had moderate-to-severe OSA, and the mean body mass index (BMI) was 25.6 kg/m2. Less women (38.2%) had moderate-to-severe OSA than men (59.3%) (p < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, age, being a man, and BMI were significantly associated with moderate-to-severe OSA. AF burden was associated with moderate-to-severe OSA only in men (odds ratio: 1.008; 95% confidence interval: 1.001-1.014). Women and men with OSA had similar BMI (p = 0.526) and OSA severity (p = 0.754), but women were older than men (70.1 ± 1.3 vs. 63.1 ± 0.9 years, p < 0.001). Women with moderate-to-severe OSA had a lower AF burden than men did (27.6 ± 7.1 vs. 49.5 ± 3.9%, p = 0.009). Conclusions: AF burden is a sex-specific risk factor for OSA and is limited to men. In contrast, women with both AF and OSA have a lower AF burden than men, despite being older and having similar OSA severity and body habitus. Thus, AF may develop later in women with OSA than in men.

Evaluation of Malignancy Risk of Ampullary Tumors Detected by Endoscopy Using 2-[18F]FDG PET/CT.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to investigate whether 2-[18F]fluoro-2-deoxy-D-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (2-[18F]FDG PET/CT) can aid in evaluating the risk of malignancy in ampullary tumors detected by endoscopy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This single-center retrospective cohort study analyzed 155 patients (79 male, 76 female; mean age, 65.7 ± 12.7 years) receiving 2-[18F]FDG PET/CT for endoscopy-detected ampullary tumors 5-87 days (median, 7 days) after the diagnostic endoscopy between June 2007 and December 2020. The final diagnosis was made based on histopathological findings. The PET imaging parameters were compared with clinical data and endoscopic features. A model to predict the risk of malignancy, based on PET, endoscopy, and clinical findings, was generated and validated using multivariable logistic regression analysis and an additional bootstrapping method. The final model was compared with standard endoscopy for the diagnosis of ampullary cancer using the DeLong test. RESULTS: The mean tumor size was 17.1 ± 7.7 mm. Sixty-four (41.3%) tumors were benign, and 91 (58.7%) were malignant. Univariable analysis found that ampullary neoplasms with a blood-pool corrected peak standardized uptake value in early-phase scan (SUVe) ≥ 1.7 were more likely to be malignant (odds ratio [OR], 16.06; 95% confidence interval [CI], 7.13-36.18; P < 0.001). Multivariable analysis identified the presence of jaundice (adjusted OR [aOR], 4.89; 95% CI, 1.80-13.33; P = 0.002), malignant traits in endoscopy (aOR, 6.80; 95% CI, 2.41-19.20; P < 0.001), SUVe ≥ 1.7 in PET (aOR, 5.43; 95% CI, 2.00-14.72; P < 0.001), and PET-detected nodal disease (aOR, 5.03; 95% CI, 1.16-21.86; P = 0.041) as independent predictors of malignancy. The model combining these four factors predicted ampullary cancers better than endoscopic diagnosis alone (area under the curve [AUC] and 95% CI: 0.925 [0.874-0.956] vs. 0.815 [0.732-0.873], P < 0.001). The model demonstrated an AUC of 0.921 (95% CI, 0.816-0.967) in candidates for endoscopic papillectomy. CONCLUSION: Adding 2-[18F]FDG PET/CT to endoscopy can improve the diagnosis of ampullary cancer and may help refine therapeutic decision-making, particularly when contemplating endoscopic papillectomy.

Prognostic implication of heart failure stage and left ventricular ejection fraction for patients with in-hospital cardiac arrest: a 16-year retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The 2022 AHA/ACC/HFSA guidelines for the management of heart failure (HF) makes therapeutic recommendations based on HF status. We investigated whether the prognosis of in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) could be stratified by HF stage and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). METHODS: This single-center retrospective study analyzed the data of patients who experienced IHCA between 2005 and 2020. Based on admission diagnosis, past medical records, and pre-arrest echocardiography, patients were classified into general IHCA, at-risk for HF, pre-HF, HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), and HF with mildly reduced ejection fraction or HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFmrEF-or-HFrEF) groups. RESULTS: This study included 2,466 patients, including 485 (19.7%), 546 (22.1%), 863 (35.0%), 342 (13.9%), and 230 (9.3%) patients with general IHCA, at-risk for HF, pre-HF, HFpEF, and HFmrEF-or-HFrEF, respectively. A total of 405 (16.4%) patients survived to hospital discharge, with 228 (9.2%) patients achieving favorable neurological recovery. Multivariable logistic regression analysis indicated that pre-HF and HFpEF were associated with better neurological (pre-HF, OR: 2.11, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.23-3.61, p = 0.006; HFpEF, OR: 1.90, 95% CI: 1.00-3.61, p = 0.05) and survival outcomes (pre-HF, OR: 2.00, 95% CI: 1.34-2.97, p < 0.001; HFpEF, OR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.20-3.05, p = 0.007), compared with general IHCA. CONCLUSION: HF stage and LVEF could stratify patients with IHCA into different prognoses. Pre-HF and HFpEF were significantly associated with favorable neurological and survival outcomes after IHCA. Further studies are warranted to investigate whether HF status-directed management could improve IHCA outcomes.

2024 TSOC/TSPS Joint Consensus: Strategies for Advanced Vascular Wound Management in Arterial and Venous Diseases.

The Taiwan Society of Cardiology (TSOC) and Taiwan Society of Plastic Surgery (TSPS) have collaborated to develop a joint consensus for the management of patients with advanced vascular wounds. The taskforce comprises experts including preventive cardiologists, interventionists, and cardiovascular and plastic surgeons. The consensus focuses on addressing the challenges in diagnosing, treating, and managing complex wounds; incorporates the perfusion evaluation and the advanced vascular wound care team; and highlights the importance of cross-disciplinary teamwork. The aim of this joint consensus is to manage patients with advanced vascular wounds and encourage the adoption of these guidelines by healthcare professionals to improve patient care and outcomes. The guidelines encompass a range of topics, including the definition of advanced vascular wounds, increased awareness, team structure, epidemiology, clinical presentation, medical treatment, endovascular intervention, vascular surgery, infection control, advanced wound management, and evaluation of treatment results. It also outlines a detailed protocol for assessing patients with lower leg wounds, provides guidance on consultation and referral processes, and offers recommendations for various wound care devices, dressings, and products. The 2024 TSOC/TSPS consensus for the management of patients with advanced vascular wounds serves as a catalyst for international collaboration, promoting knowledge exchange and facilitating advancements in the field of advanced vascular wound management. By providing a comprehensive and evidence-based approach, this consensus aims to contribute to improved patient care and outcomes globally.

Fatty acid-binding protein-3 and renal function decline in patients with chronic coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Renal dysfunction is common in patients with coronary artery disease. Due to the shared vascular pathogenesis between the two conditions, novel biomarkers such as the fatty acid-binding protein-3 (FABP-3) have been proposed for diagnosis and prognosis prediction. This multicentre prospective cohort study investigates the association between FABP-3 and renal dysfunction. HYPOTHESIS: We hypothesized that higher FABP-3 levels are correlated to worse renal outcome. METHODS: Patients with chronic coronary syndrome were classified into three groups based on the initial serum FABP-3 levels. The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation was used to estimate the patient's renal function. Renal events were defined as >25% and >50% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Cox multivariable regression was employed to delineate the correlation between FABP-3 and renal dysfunction. RESULTS: A total of 1606 subjects were included. During a mean follow-up of 35.9 months, there were 239 patients with eGFR >25% reduction and 60 patients with >50% reduction. In the Kaplan-Meier survival curve and log-rank test, increased levels of FABP-3 were significantly correlated with eGFR >25% reduction (p < .001) and >50% reduction (p < .001). Multivariate Cox regression model revealed that subjects with higher FABP-3 exhibited a greater risk of eGFR >25% reduction (Group 2: hazard ratio [HR] = 2.328, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.521-3.562, p < .001; Group 3: HR = 3.054, 95% CI = 1.952-4.776, p < .001) and >50% reduction (Group 3: HR = 4.838, 95% CI = 1.722-13.591, p = .003). CONCLUSIONS: Serum FABP-3 may serve as a novel biomarker to predict eGFR decline in patients with chronic coronary syndrome.

Recommended assessment and management of sleep disordered breathing in patients with atrial fibrillation, hypertension and heart failure: Taiwan Society of Cardiology/Taiwan Society of sleep Medicine/Taiwan Society of pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine joint consensus statement.

Sleep disordered breathing (SDB) is highly prevalent and may be linked to cardiovascular disease in a bidirectional manner. The Taiwan Society of Cardiology, Taiwan Society of Sleep Medicine and Taiwan Society of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine established a task force of experts to evaluate the evidence regarding the assessment and management of SDB in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), hypertension and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). The GRADE process was used to assess the evidence associated with 15 formulated questions. The task force developed recommendations and determined strength (Strong, Weak) and direction (For, Against) based on the quality of evidence, balance of benefits and harms, patient values and preferences, and resource use. The resulting 11 recommendations are intended to guide clinicians in determining which the specific patient-care strategy should be utilized by clinicians based on the needs of individual patients.

Taiwan Association for the Study of the Liver-Taiwan Society of Cardiology Taiwan position statement for the management of metabolic dysfunction- associated fatty liver disease and cardiovascular diseases.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is an increasingly common liver disease worldwide. MAFLD is diagnosed based on the presence of steatosis on images, histological findings, or serum marker levels as well as the presence of at least one of the three metabolic features: overweight/obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus, and metabolic risk factors. MAFLD is not only a liver disease but also a factor contributing to or related to cardiovascular diseases (CVD), which is the major etiology responsible for morbidity and mortality in patients with MAFLD. Hence, understanding the association between MAFLD and CVD, surveillance and risk stratification of MAFLD in patients with CVD, and assessment of the current status of MAFLD management are urgent requirements for both hepatologists and cardiologists. This Taiwan position statement reviews the literature and provides suggestions regarding the epidemiology, etiology, risk factors, risk stratification, nonpharmacological interventions, and potential drug treatments of MAFLD, focusing on its association with CVD.

Association of health information technology-driven multidisciplinary approaches with low-density lipoprotein cholesterol target achievement in patients with an acute coronary syndrome.

Objective: Controlling of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) remains a challenge. Health information technology (HIT) is increasingly being applied to close quality gaps in chronic illness care. The aim of this study was to perform a qualitative review of the association of implementing HIT on lipid management processes of care and LDL-C goal attainment in patients with ACS. Method: Eligible patients with a discharge diagnosis of ACS from January 2018 to December 2021 at a tertiary medical center were retrospectively reviewed. An HIT system with a multidisciplinary approach including initiating high-intensity statin therapy, periodic laboratory follow-up, titration of lipid-lowering agents, patient education, patient-level and system-level interventions involving database monitoring and outreach by centralized care teams was introduced in October 2018. Electronical medical records including data on medications and laboratory findings at discharge and within 1 year were compared before and after implementing the HIT system. Results: A total of 2001 ACS patients (average age 63 ± 12.7 years, 79.66 % men) were analyzed. The LDL-C < 70 mg/dL goal attainment rates (36.52 %, 53.57 %, 59.22 %, 62.18 % in 2018-2021) and medium serum LDL-C levels (80.5 mg/dL, 68 mg/dL, 65 mg/dL, 64 mg/dL in 2018-2021) significantly improved within 6 months (2018 as the reference, all p<0.001). The LDL-C attainment rate at 12 months also steadily increased (53.80 %, 61.82 %, 64.21 % in 2019-2021, p = 0.019). Most of the patients switched to a high-intensity statins regimen at discharge (0.57 %, 63.67 %, 72.41 %, 84.44 %, in 2018-2021, p<0.001 with 2018 as the reference), with low adverse event rates. The maintenance rates of high-intensity statin regimens at 12 months continued to improve (41.36 %, 49.04 %, 61.39 % in 2019-2021, p<0.001). Conclusions: Efforts to control LDL-C should be increased in ACS patients by initiating and intensifying statin treatment earlier. Our results confirmed that a team-based strategy with HIT improved LDL-C target achievement for most patients with ACS.

Inflammation and renal function decline in chronic coronary syndrome: a prospective multicenter cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Renal function decline is a frequently encountered complication in patients with chronic coronary syndrome. Aside from traditional cardiovascular risk factors, the inflammatory burden emerged as the novel phenotype that compromised renal prognosis in such population. METHODS: A cohort with chronic coronary syndrome was enrolled to investigate the association between inflammatory status and renal dysfunction. Levels of inflammatory markers, including high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), tumour necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), adiponectin, matrix metalloproteinase-9, interleukin-6, lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2, were assessed. Renal event was defined as > 25% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Inflammatory scores were calculated based on the aggregate of hs-CRP, TNF-α, and adiponectin levels. RESULTS: Among the 850 enrolled subjects, 145 patients sustained a renal event during an averaged 3.5 years follow-up. Multivariate analysis with Cox regression suggested elevations in hs-CRP, TNF-α, and adiponectin levels were independent risk factors for the occurrence of a renal event. Whereas, Kaplan-Meier curve illustrated significant correlation between high TNF-α (P = 0.005), adiponectin (P < 0.001), but not hs-CRP (P = 0.092), and eGFR decline. The aggregative effect of these biomarkers was also distinctly correlated with renal events (score 2: P = 0.042; score 3: P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Inflammatory burden was associated with eGFR decline in patients with chronic coronary syndrome.

Gut butyrate-producers confer post-infarction cardiac protection.

The gut microbiome and its metabolites are increasingly implicated in several cardiovascular diseases, but their role in human myocardial infarction (MI) injury responses have yet to be established. To address this, we examined stool samples from 77 ST-elevation MI (STEMI) patients using 16 S V3-V4 next-generation sequencing, metagenomics and machine learning. Our analysis identified an enriched population of butyrate-producing bacteria. These findings were then validated using a controlled ischemia/reperfusion model using eight nonhuman primates. To elucidate mechanisms, we inoculated gnotobiotic mice with these bacteria and found that they can produce beta-hydroxybutyrate, supporting cardiac function post-MI. This was further confirmed using HMGCS2-deficient mice which lack endogenous ketogenesis and have poor outcomes after MI. Inoculation increased plasma ketone levels and provided significant improvements in cardiac function post-MI. Together, this demonstrates a previously unknown role of gut butyrate-producers in the post-MI response.

Machine Learning Models for ASCVD Risk Prediction in an Asian Population - How to Validate the Model is Important.

Introduction: Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) is prevalent worldwide including Taiwan, however widely accepted tools to assess the risk of ASCVD are lacking in Taiwan. Machine learning models are potentially useful for risk evaluation. In this study we used two cohorts to test the feasibility of machine learning with transfer learning for developing an ASCVD risk prediction model in Taiwan. Methods: Two multi-center observational registry cohorts, T-SPARCLE and T-PPARCLE were used in this study. The variables selected were based on European, U.S. and Asian guidelines. Both registries recorded the ASCVD outcomes of the patients. Ten-fold validation and temporal validation methods were used to evaluate the performance of the binary classification analysis [prediction of major adverse cardiovascular (CV) events in one year]. Time-to-event analyses were also performed. Results: In the binary classification analysis, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and random forest had the best performance, with areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC) of 0.72 (0.68-0.76) and 0.73 (0.69-0.77), respectively, although it was not significantly better than other models. Temporal validation was also performed, and the data showed significant differences in the distribution of various features and event rate. The AUC-ROC of XGBoost dropped to 0.66 (0.59-0.73), while that of random forest dropped to 0.69 (0.62-0.76) in the temporal validation method, and the performance also became numerically worse than that of the logistic regression model. In the time-to-event analysis, most models had a concordance index of around 0.70. Conclusions: Machine learning models with appropriate transfer learning may be a useful tool for the development of CV risk prediction models and may help improve patient care in the future.

A risk stratification model modified from the U.S. guideline could be applied in an Asian population with or without ASCVD.

AIM: This study aimed to evaluate the performance of a modified US (MUS) model for risk prediction of cardiovascular (CV) events in Asian patients and compare it to European and Japanese models. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The MUS model, based on the US ACC/AHA 2018 lipid treatment guideline, was employed to stratify patients under primary or secondary prevention. Two multi-center prospective observational registry cohorts, T-SPARCLE and T-PPARCLE, were used to validate the scoring system, and the primary outcome was the time to first occurrence/recurrence of major adverse cardiac events (MACEs). The MUS model's performance was compared to other models from Europe and Japan. RESULTS: A total of 10,733 patients with the mean age of 64.2 (SD: 11.9) and 36.5% female were followed up for a median of 5.4 years. The MUS model was validated, with an AUC score of 0.73 (95% CI 0.68-0.78). The European and Japanese models had AUC scores ranging from 0.6 to 0.7. The MUS model categorized patients into four distinct CV risk groups, with hazard ratios (HRs) as follows: very high-vs. high-risk group (HR=1.91, 95% CI 1.53-2.39), high-vs. moderate-risk group (HR=2.08, 95% CI 1.60-2.69), and moderate-vs. low-risk group (HR=3.14, 95% CI 1.63-6.03). After adjusting for the MUS model, a history of ASCVD was not a significant predictor of adverse cardiovascular outcomes within each risk group. CONCLUSION: The MUS model is an effective tool for risk stratification in Asian patients with and without ASCVD, accurately predicting MACEs and performing comparably or better than other established risk models. Our findings suggest that patient management should focus on background risk factors instead of solely on primary or secondary prevention.